Service Plays Thursday 9/16/10

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

The Rx.com Mod Team has created this Service Play sub-forum in order to supply an area for Rx Service Play Posters to expand upon their posting topics without creating a logjam in the main forum where the three principle threads are maintained..

Posters can track services here if they care to but we will need any trackers to do so in an accurate and civil manner. We did not create this area for posters to ridicule or bash any services..

You can also discuss who is hot and who is not. The general state of the pay for plays industry and any other subject or topic related to service plays.

You can also create individual threads about specific services and discuss them freely but civilly. Again bashing and abusive treatment of any services will not be tolerated.

Please remember, this forum is not here for regular posters who cap their own games to post ther daily plays. Please use our individual sport forums to post your plays. Professional cappers (those that sell plays) must remain in the Site Promotion Forum.

The Rx.com will not tolerate posters that post false records of any services they track. Please be truthful if you decide to track a particular service.

Lastly The Rx Moderators are appealing to you our everyday posters to report any promotional threads or posts that are made by services or individual touts. No links or contact information to an individual service will be allowed. Just the name of the service. Please report any threads or posts that are promotional attempts by services and touts to use this forum to promote themselves..

Posters can easily report a promotional post by using the triangular Report-a-Post Icon at the bottom left of all post boxes. The poster name of any poster who reports a post that is out of line will be kept strictly confidential.

I will leave this thread open for a month to take questions and do my best to answer them. I will check in daily but am off on Wednesday and Thursday.

I hope this additional Service Play Forum will satisfy those posters that would like to widen the scope of topics relating to service plays and the industry in general to have their own threads. Mods will be liberal as possible regarding topics but this forum was specifically created to allow you more freedom to express your ideas regarding service plays and related subject matter. No off topic threads will be allowed.

Thank you, wilheim




TheRX.com Policy on Posting Handicapper Plays:
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Some handicappers do not mind having their plays posted, If we are asked by any company to not let their information be posted here, we will comply with the request and remove the information if we see it.
For The Record.
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
To all services and professional handicappers. I am only going to be editing posts where your copyrighted write-ups are involved. Please do not email me if someone simply posts so and so likes xyz team plus or minus so many points only.
Thank you, wilheim.......

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****Please note we can post ONLY Picks for the services above - NO WRITE - UPS. All other services not on this list can be posted in any fashion. GL!​

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Streaking and Slumping Pitchers

Streaking

Tim Stauffer (4-3, 1.54 ERA), San Diego Padres

Stauffer made the most of his opportunity filling in for Mat Latos last week. He fired four innings of one-run ball on Monday and then followed that up six scoreless innings, giving up three hits against the Giants on Saturday. Get used to Stauffer in the rotation. Word is the Padres are going to keep him there for a while.

Jonathan Sanchez (10-8, 3.29 ERA), San Francisco Giants

Sanchez has pitched San Francisco to team wins in four of his last five starts and hasn’t given up a run over his last two innings, spanning 12 innings. He allowed only one hit in his last outing, blanking the Padres over five innings in a 1-0 loss. The lefty did have problems with his control in that one, walking seven while striking out four.


Slumping

Rodrigo Lopez (5-14, 5.13 ERA), Arizona Diamondbacks

Lopez hasn’t won a game since July 8, going 0-6 through those 11 starts, though he has been better lately. He allowed just two earned runs over 6 1/3 innings in a 2-1 loss at Colorado the last time he took the hill and only allowed three runs over six innings in a 3-2 loss against Houston before that.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Hot Lines: Today's best MLB bets

Minnesota at Chicago White Sox (-105, 8.5)

The rivalry between the Minnesota Twins and Chicago White Sox is nothing new, but sometimes it can be blown way out of proportion. On Tuesday, the Chicago Tribune featured a huge headline to accompany a Mark Buehrle photo saying “I hate the Twins,” which was accurate. However, Buehrle continued to say he hated Minnesota because “they’re good and they win.”

Minnesota manager Ron Gardenhire didn’t appear overly offended.

"I enjoy the heck out of it, even 'I hate the Twins' on a headline. That's great stuff,” Gardenhire told reporters “I mean, Chicago stuff, that's great. You open the paper up and, 'Hey, honey you want a cup of coffee?' 'Yeah — I hate the Twins?' It doesn't get any better than that. It's a great article, and it doesn't get any better than that."

The Twins had won 20 of its last 26 games against the White Sox heading into Wednesday’s matchup.

Pick: Twins


Arizona at Cincinnati (-180, 9)

The Cincinnati Reds could be getting a big veteran presence back on the field for the stretch run. Jim Edmonds, who has been out since the end of August with an oblique injury, has responded to treatment well after many thought his season, or even his career might be over.

Reports out of Cincinnati say that he looks good in the batting cage and may return over the next few days. Edmonds is batting .272 with nine homers and 21 RBIs in 82 games this season.

Cincinnati had lost two of three heading into Wednesday’s game and was limited to just a single run in both of those losses.

Pick: Over

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Bettors’ best friend: Thursday’s wagering tips

Lines to watch

Cleveland opened at +100 with a total of 7.5. The Indians are now pegged at -115 with the over/under at 8.

Weather to watch

Arizona at Cincinnati – 60 percent chance of scattered thunderstorms.
Los Angeles Angels at Cleveland – 90 percent chance of thunderstorms with 23 mph winds blowing out to right field.
Pirates at New York Mets – 30 percent chance of isolated thunderstorms.

Who’s hot

Cincinnati Bearcats are 6-2 ATS in their last eight Thursday night games.
Minnesota is 20-6 in its last 26 meetings with the Chicago White Sox.

Who’s not

Arizona has two wins in its last 10.
Los Angeles Angels are 10-23 in their last 33 road games.
Pittsburgh is 7-44 in its last 51 road games.
San Diego is 8-31 in its last 39 games in St. Louis.

Key stat

0.45 – San Francisco Giants starter Jonathan Sanchez’s ERA over his last three games. Despite allowing just one run over his last 20 innings, Sanchez added only one win to his personal record. He takes the ball against Ted Lilly and his L.A. Dodgers on Thursday.

Injury that shouldn’t be overlooked

Jason Bay (concussion), New York Mets. Bay admitted that it was "highly unlikely" that he would be able to return to action this season. He has been out since late-July but had been holding out hope that he would be able to get back in the lineup for the stretch run.

Game of the day

Cincinnati at North Carolina State

Notable quotable

“I hate the Twins,” a partial quote from White Sox starter Mark Buehrle, jumped off the page of Tuesday’s Chicago Tribune in huge font. Buehrle’s full comment wasn’t nearly as pointed, as he continued to say that he hated the Twins because “they’re good and they win.” Buehrle heads into Thursday’s start working on a 2-1 record against the Twins this year with a 2.74 ERA.

Tips and notes

South Carolina tight end Weslye Saunders was dismissed from the team on Wednesday. The 6-foot-5, 270-pounder was under investigation for possible contact with a sports agent and is also being looked into about his living arrangements with a few other South Carolina players at the Whitney Hotel. He was on indefinite suspension before the dismissal. ESPN’s Mel Kiper had him listed as the No. 2 tight end for next year’s NFL draft.

It looks as though the San Diego Padres may have solved their problem at the leadoff spot of their batting order. Aaron Cunningham had three hits and two runs scored in his first game at the top of the order for the Padres Tuesday night. San Diego has the worst leadoff hitter batting average in the bigs at .222 this season. Cunningham, went 0-for-3 at that spot on Wednesday, but was hitting .327 with 13 extra-base hits in 101 at bats heading into that game, so he’s likely to see some more action at the top of the order.

Indianapolis Colts safety Bob Sanders underwent surgery on his torn right bicep on Wednesday, putting him out indefinitely. The Colts plan to keep him on the roster, hoping he’ll be able to come back late in the regular season. Indy squares off against the New York Giants in Week 2’s Sunday Nighter and is listed as a 5.5-point favorite.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

What Bettors Need to Know

Cincinnati at North Carolina State

Thursday night’s Cincinnati at North Carolina State game is a handicapping head-scratcher.

The Bearcats (1-1) have looked bad. They surrendered eight sacks in an opening loss at Fresno State and got off to a sluggish start before pulling away against Indiana State, a second-tier FCS school.

Yet, Cincinnati arrives in Raleigh, N.C. as a very small underdog to face the undefeated Wolfpack.

North Carolina State hasn’t done much more than Cincinnati. The ‘Pack (2-0) crushed Western Carolina, another weak FCS team, in its opener and pulled out a semi-impressive road win at Central Florida.

North Carolina State didn’t return home from Saturday’s 28-21 win over UCF until 3:30 a.m. ET. The late arrival combined with Thursday’s game against Cincinnati had Wolfpack coach Tom O’Brien lamenting his team’s quick turnaround and telling the media that early-week practices were “sluggish.”

The Bearcats were at home last week. First-year coach Butch Jones doesn’t think the limited preparation time is that big of an advantage for either team.

To say the least, neither team is a proven commodity, which makes this game all the more tricky to handicap.

The odds

The Las Vegas Sports Consultants sent out North Carolina State -2.5. It was down to -1.5 at most online and Vegas books as of Wednesday afternoon.

The Bearcats on a 6-2-1 ATS run as road underdogs. The Wolfpack is 5-17 ATS as a home favorite since 2003 and 2-4 in that situation under coach O’Brien.

The total opened at 55.

North Carolina State beat Pittsburgh of the Big East 38-31 last season and averaged 38 points in its two games this year.

Cincinnati was held to 14 points at Fresno State, but got its ground game going in a 40-7 rout of Indiana State.

Wolfpack senior kicker Josh Czajkowski is 12-for-14 on field goals for his career, 2-of-2 this year, and has not missed an extra point in 52 attempts.

Bearcat senior kicker Jake Rogers is 14-for-20 on field goals for his career, 1-of-2 this season, and 70-for-72 on extra points.

Weather is not expected to have an impact.

Eleven of the last 13 Wolfpack games have eclipsed the total.

Battle in the trenches

The Bearcats’ pass protection has been horrific. They’ve allowed 10 sacks in two games, eight coming in the opener against Fresno State. Only one team (Idaho) has allowed more.

That’s not a good matchup against a Wolfpack defense that’s done a good job of getting pressure on the quarterback. North Carolina State ranks among the Top 20 in the nation with six sacks in two games.

Three sophomores start on North Carolina State’s inexperienced offensive line that averages 307 pounds and has allowed six sacks in two games. The Bearcats have four sacks this season.

Quarterback matchup

Russell Wilson, the 2008 ACC Freshman of the Year, hasn’t progressed like O’Brien would have hoped. He completed just 10-of-30 passes in last week’s 28-21 win over Central Florida and managed a pedestrian 35 yards on a 13 carries. While his numbers won’t wow you, Wilson has done a good job of taking care of the football and has yet to throw an interception this season.

Cincinnati’s Zach Collaros, when upright, has been solid, but not spectacular. The junior is completing just over 60 percent of his passes with three touchdowns and no interceptions. Like Wilson, he’s a dual-threat quarterback, capable of big plays in the running game.

Injuries

Cincinnati starting running back Isaiah Pead is a game-time decision with knee issues. The junior is the Bearcats’ leading returning rusher. He sat out last week in an effort to be available against North Carolina State, but, judging from the coach’s comments at Wednesday’s news conference, Pead seems iffy at best.

If he can’t go, Darrin Williams, who rushed for 117 yards against Indiana State in his first career start, will be the go-to guy.

The Bearcats lost one of their top receivers, senior Vidal Hazleton to a leg injury in Week 1. He’s out for the year.

North Carolina State has some reserves nicked up, but no significant injuries to starters were reported as of Wednesday afternoon.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

NCAAF DUNKEL INDEX

Cincinnati at NC State
The Bearcats look to take advantage of an NC State team that is 2-5-1 ATS in its last 8 games against the Big East. Cincinnati is the pick (+2 1/2) according to Dunkel, which has the game Even. Dunkel Pick: Cincinnati (+2 1/2). Here are all of Thursday and Friday's picks.

THURSDAY, SEPTEMBER 16

Game 101-102: Cincinnati at NC State (7:45 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Cincinnati 91.373; NC State 91.307
Dunkel Line: Even; 58
Vegas Line: NC State by 2 1/2; 55
Dunkel Pick: Cincinnati (+2 1/2); Over

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Nss

NC STATE
SAN FRANCISCO GIANTS

 

[Bomber77]

Crown City Sports Consultant
Thursday September 16, 2010

3-1 NCAA Football

[Premium Selection]
2- NC State Wolfpack -2

 

[Bomber77]

SPORTS BETTING PROFESSOR
NCAAF-THURSDAY 9.16.2010

North Carolina St. -2*

 

[Bomber77]

STATFOX PLATINUM SHEET

GAmE BrEAkdowN:
After losing its opener at Fresno State, Cincinnati recovered with a 40-7 thumping of Indiana State. Top RB Isaiah Pead did not play (sore knee), but the Bearcats still rushed for 263 yards against the Sycamores. NC State forced five UCF turnovers in its 28-21 victory in Orlando. But the offense was anemic, with just 79 yards in the second half. QB Russell Wilson was just 10-of-30 for 105 yards.

STATFox ThrEE PACk:
• Tom O’Brien is 20-7 ATS off an upset win as an underdog.
• Tom O’Brien is 14-4 ATS after 1 or more consecutive ATS wins as coach of NC STATE.
• Butch Jones is 9-1 OVER after playing a non-conference game.

Cincinnati Bearcats 45
North Carolina State Wolfpack 33

 

[Bomber77]

WINNING POINTS

Close Call

N. C. State* over Cincinnati by 3 (Thursday)
In recent years, the complexity of the Cincinnati offense has made the Bearcats dif- ficult to prepare for in a short week. This time around attrition at WR and in the OL make it a rather different concept. N. C. STATE 27-24.

 

[Bomber77]

MARC LAWRENCE'S PLAYBOOK

NC STATE over Cincinnati by 3

 

[Bomber77]

NELLY'S GREEN SHEET

NC STATE (-11⁄2) Cincinnati 6:45 PM
The Bearcats already have as many losses on the season as they had all of last year. After an opening loss at Fresno State where the offense was quite out-of-sync, Cincinnati responded with 40 points last week to knock off Indiana State. Going on the road will be a challenge but NC State has not been overly impressive despite a 2-0 mark. Five turnovers gift-wrapped a 28- 21 win for the Wolfpack last week in a game where they managed just 239 yards. Cincinnati should be able to run the ball with some success in this match-up but the Bearcats have not had the same passing threats as the past two seasons. NC State is just 13-10 S/U at home under Coach O’Brien and only 3-4 ATS as home favorites. Backing a road underdog with scoring potential could pay off in this game although NC State did beat Pittsburgh of the Big East at home last season. CINCINNATI BY 4

 

[Bomber77]

THE GOLDSHEET

*Cincinnati 34 - NORTH CAROLINA ST. 28—Wolfpack defense seemingly sounder this season, although State did benefit from five UCF giveaways in last week’s road win at Orlando. As long as Cincy not so magnanimous, run-pass Bearcat jr. QB Collaros has wherewithal to outgun confident Pack counterpart R. Wilson (53 TDP vs. only 12 ints. last 2+ seasons!). TV—ESPN

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

BASEBALL CRUSHER
POD

Cincinnati Reds -1.5 (+110) over Arizona Diamondbacks

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Pro Tipster

Date Country League Event Our pick
16.09.2010 Europe Europa League Liverpool - Steaua Liverpool -1
16.09.2010 Europe Europa League Napoli - Utrecht Napoli

SAM

Europe - Europa League - 18:00 GMT
Slazburg - Man City take Man City to win
Bet365: 1.73
Best odds: 1,81 Pinnacle

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Grad betting 65-63-1 (0-1)

SKU Amstetten v SCR Altach,bet on SCR Altach - SCR Altach @1.90

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

The Joker 93-74-2 (1-0)

Back Over 2.5 Goals at 1.8 in Stuttgart v Young Boys

 

[fakeandthedrive]

Statbetting 09-16
NCAA Football:

Cincinatti Bearcats +1.5 2 Units

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Mighty Quinn

Mighty hit with the Rockies Wednesday. Thursday it's the University of Cincinnati.

The deficit is 50 sirignanos.